The French Economy In The Q1 is Far Worse Than Expected

According to preliminary figures released on Friday by France’s official statistics office, INSEE, consumer spending fell in the first quarter due to an oil price shock and the crisis in Ukraine.

The first-quarter growth of zero is a significant decrease from the last three months of 2021; when the euro zone’s second-largest economy grew by 0.8 percent, up from 0.7 percent earlier. This was lower than the 0.3 percent increase forecasted by 24 analysts in a Reuters survey; ranging from 0.6 percent to -0.1 percent. (FRGDPP=ECI)

Macron Has Much to Answer

The Oil price shock and the crisis in Ukraine are the leading factors behind crashing consumer spending in the first quarter. One of the most affected factors in the French economy has been consumer spending. This factor has shown sharp declines, mainly driven by the oil price shock and the crisis in Ukraine, as figures released on Friday by France’s official statistics office, INSEE. Household expenditure has historically been a key engine of the French economy; it declined 1.3 percent in the third quarter as rising energy costs; the conflict in Ukraine weighed on consumer confidence.

French voters re-elected Emmanuel Macron for another five-year term for the second day in a row, granting him victory against far-right rival Marine Le Pen. So, what’s next for the French economy and the country’s most pressing issue, the rising cost of living? Frederik Ducrozet, the senior European Economist at Pictet Wealth Management, is among the experts with estimates on this question.

Another concerning matter in today’s France is how green will Macron be able to go? Climate change took a back seat in the presidential election. Still, it might be front and center for the next administration. Macron’s initiatives on environmental policy and renewable energy are examined.