Asian stock markets faced notable declines on Monday as concerns over potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve were revived by mixed U.S. economic data.
Hong Kong’s main market index plummeted by 2.3%, while Shanghai, Tokyo, and Sydney also experienced declines. Additionally, oil prices witnessed a retreat.
U.S. Producer Price Inflation
Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 index slipped by 0.1% on Friday after U.S. government data revealed that producer price inflation accelerated in July. Moreover, earlier data had indicated a faster rise in consumer prices in the same month.
Analyst Tan Boon Heng of Mizuho Bank commented, “Setbacks to optimistic expectations are hard to ignore. The data need to provide reasons” for the Federal Reserve “not to hike.”
Market Movement in Asia
The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.1% to 3,154.16, and Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 shed 1% to 32,160.30. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index dropped to 18,629.82.
In South Korea, the Kospi retreated by 1% to 2,565.37, while Sydney’s S&P-ASX 200 registered a decline of 0.8% to 7,283.60. New Zealand and several Southeast Asian markets also saw declines.
On Wall Street, the S&P 500 closed at 4,464.05 on Friday, slightly lower after the Labor Department’s report indicated a year-over-year rise of 0.8% in the producer price index, compared to June’s 0.2%. The S&P 500 experienced a weekly decline of 0.3%, marking its second consecutive weekly decrease. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq composite fell by 0.7% to 13,644.85, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3% to reach 35,281.40.
Inflation Debate Continues
The recent price data has fueled the ongoing debate about whether the Federal Reserve will consider the inflation situation under control after a year of significant rate hikes to moderate economic activity. Investors are uncertain about whether further rate increases are necessary.
While a majority of Wall Street traders still anticipate that the central bank will maintain the fed funds rate at its September meeting, some critics argue that the assumption that inflation is under control might be premature. The economy’s ability to avoid a recession and the Fed’s cessation of rate hikes are points of contention.
Market Prospects: Biggest Stock Losers Today
The majority of U.S. retailers are scheduled to release their quarterly results this week, with notable names such as Home Depot, Target, and Walmart presenting their earnings.
In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude experienced a decline of 72 cents, reaching $82.47 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, which is the basis for international oil trading, witnessed a drop of 76 cents to $86.05 per barrel in London.
The dollar’s exchange rate also experienced changes, falling to 144.93 yen from Friday’s 144.97 yen. Additionally, the euro fell to $1.0933 from $1.0951.
Dow Jones Futures Experience Slight Rise
Dow Jones futures experienced a minor increase on Monday morning, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. Notable developments included Tesla’s price cuts for Model Y in China and U.S. Steel’s rejection of a takeover bid.
Workplace management software maker Monday.com (MNDY) emerged as a standout performer, surpassing EPS expectations and achieving better-than-expected revenue. This resulted in MNDY stock surging over 5% before the market opened.
Although the stock market experienced a mixed week, with resurgent Treasury yields and varied earnings influencing growth, industrials, infrastructure, housing, and energy sectors remained resilient or even gained ground. Some names in retail, travel, medical, transportation, and finance sectors also showcased positive trends.
Dow Jones Futures Today: When Will the Stock Market Recover?
Dow Jones futures showed a rise of 0.1% compared to fair value, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures increased by 0.1% each.
The 10-year Treasury yield remained steady at 4.17%. Meanwhile, crude oil futures saw a decline of 1%, and copper prices experienced a slight decrease.
The Hang Seng index in Hong Kong faced a drop of 1.6%, highlighting ongoing challenges within the property sector.
It’s important to note that overnight movements in Dow futures and other indices may not necessarily translate directly into actual trading outcomes during regular Asian stock market sessions.
